Tag : commodities

Why Is Chart Structure Important ?
Why Is Chart Structure Important ?

What do I mean when I talk about chart structure and why do I think it’s so important when deciding to enter or exit a trade? I define chart structure as a slow grinding up or down trend with low volatility and no chart gaps. Many of the great trends that develop have very good chart structure with many low…

Can Moving Average Predict Trend ?
Can Moving Average Predict Trend ?

How Can You Use Moving Averages To Your Advantage? A simple moving average is calculated by adding the closing price of a commodity such as crude oil for a number of time periods and then dividing this total by the number of time periods. Short-term averages respond quickly to changes in the price of the underlying commodity, while long-term averages…

Trade With The Trend—Look At Grains
Trade With The Trend—Look At Grains

TRADING THEORY—Trade with the short term trend, as the saying goes in futures trading the trend is your friend but sometimes you will be a market that is trending higher and then has a false breakout to the upside and then suddenly sells off causing you a 2% loss on your equity and you say to yourself that was a…

Do You Understand Seasonality ? Look At Wheat
Do You Understand Seasonality ? Look At Wheat

What do traders mean when they talk about seasonality and its effects on commodity prices? The definition of seasonality states that a characteristic of a certain time when the data experiences regular and predictable changes which occur every calendar year and in a time series that reoccurs or repeats over one year can be said to be seasonal. An example…

When Should You Add To Winning Trades ?
When Should You Add To Winning Trades ?

When Do You Add To Your Winning Trade? This has always been a very interesting question because it can create a situation of going from rags to riches to riches to rags in a very short amount of time. Many times I see traders abuse pyramiding or adding to positions with utter lack of any type of money management system…

Limit Up/Limit Down Trading Rule—Look At Hogs
Limit Up/Limit Down Trading Rule—Look At Hogs

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Trading Theory—When To Exit ?
Trading Theory—When To Exit ?

    WHEN IS IT TIME TO SELL ? In my opinion if you are long a futures contract and you have lost 2% of your account balance on that trade exit and move on and look at other trends that are beginning as the theory states. Generally speaking if you long a futures contract I would place the stop…

My Limit Up/Limit Down Rule—Look At Lumber
My Limit Up/Limit Down Rule—Look At Lumber

TRADING THEORY—This is an outstanding rule to understand as when a market trades limit down such as what cotton did in today’s trading session that tells you there is a high probability that prices will open lower on the open in tomorrow’s trading session as buying limit down is a fool’s game. Remember when a market closes limit down there…

When Is It Time To Sell ? Look At Cattle
When Is It Time To Sell ? Look At Cattle

WHEN IS IT TIME TO SELL ? In my opinion if you are long a futures contract and you have lost 2% of your account balance on that trade exit and move on and look at other trends that are beginning as the theory states. Generally speaking if you long a futures contract I would place the stop loss under…

When Should You Buy ? Look At Silver
When Should You Buy ? Look At Silver

When Should You Enter Into A Trade? I have been asked this questions on multiple times over the course of my 25 year trading career as I try to find the trend before entering into a bullish or bearish position as my rule states. I like to buy or sell a commodity when prices hit a 4 week high or…